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kindle É The World in 2050 Four Forces Shaping Civilization's Northern Future Ú Laurence C. Smith

Ent on what our world will be like in 2050 The result is both good news and bad Eight nations of the Arctic Rim including the United States will become increasingly prosperous powerful and politically stable while those closer to the euator will face water shortages aging populations and crowded megacities sapped by the rising costs of energy and coastal flooding The World in 2050 combines the lessons of geography and history with state of the art model projections and analytical data everything from climate dynamics and resource stocks to age distributions and economic gro In his book The New North The world in 2050 Laurence C Smith takes us in 20082009 into what he anticipates the evolution of humankind in the future next 40 years ie into 2050The first obvious remarue is that reading this book in 2020 allow us to disagree from some of the author previsions Prediction are accurate at the end of the gameAll these estimates start with the analyses in 2009 and the author finds four major forces that by that time where shaping our society and gives the guidelines for the next fourteen years In that list he includes population growth and demographic characteristics; consume and natural resources; economic and social globalization; and climate changesIn the first art of this book the author approaches all these variables with criteria and exactitude And if in all of them are exhaustive enough the description of the overuse of the natural resources and globalization were detailed analyses thar had reveled accurate in 2020In the second part of the book and according the tendencies inherent to the described four forces the author traces a scenario of the humankind and their implication on human distribution around the globe In this distribution the author describes three major areas under the parallel 45º north between parallels 45º North and 63º North and above the later In this part of the book L Smith analyses the way that those four major forces will shape our world and life conditions in those different areas Many of these predictions are already verifiable in 2020 and what the author describes as population migrations are already present by the time I write this text with migration from vast areas of the globe were food and water resources scarcity and the pressure of demographic growth were scenarios well known to us southern Europeans and a warning to what migrations pressures could became in the next decadesThe author ends the book suggesting that many of the alterations described would be bad for us all and others would be an improvement for some of us but unfairly bad for the majorities of us In the world of 2050 with a population of 10 billion these alterations could satisfactory for 110 of the world population but will be unbearably for the majority of our civilization

book The World in 2050 Four Forces Shaping Civilization's Northern Future

The World in 2050 Four Forces Shaping Civilization's Northern FutureWth projections But Smith offers than a compendium of statistics and studies he spent fifteen months traveling the Arctic Rim collecting stories and insights that resonate throughout the book It is an approach much like Jared Diamond took in Guns Germs and Steel and Collapse a work of geoscientific investigation rich in the appreciation of human diversity Packed with stunning photographs original maps and informative tables this is the most authoritative balanced and compelling account available of the world of challenges and opportunities that we will leave for our childre Presents the argument that climate change population growth and natural resource depletion will drive populations and economic development north towards the Arctic Circle As opposed to many 'futurists' this is not a one dimensional attempt to align predictions with an ideological agenda Instead the author carefully statues his assumptions The models are good enough No magic bullets and then identifies the factors which are likely to have the most impactNuanced is probably overused in describing books like this however in this case both nuanced and balanced are appropriate adjectives

Laurence C. Smith Ú The World in 2050 Four Forces Shaping Civilization's Northern Future mobi

mobi ß doc The World in 2050 Four Forces Shaping Civilization's Northern Future 9780525951810 Free À naturaltreatment Í A vivid forecast of our planet in the year 2050 by a rising star in geoscience distilling cutting edge research into four global forcA vivid forecast of our planet in the year 2050 by a rising star in geoscience distilling cutting edge research into four global forces demographic trends natural resource demand climate change and globalization The world's population is exploding wild species are vanishing our environment is degrading and the costs of resources from oil to water are going nowhere but up So what kind of world are we leaving for our children and grandchildren Geoscientist and Guggenheim fellow Laurence Smith draws on the latest global modeling research to construct a sweeping thought experim In all honesty this book almost made me scared than anything I'm not saying it's a bad book because I thoroughly enjoyed it Some of the points he made and some of the facts he highlighted throughout the novel were absolutely astonishing Laurence Smith is correct in 100% of this novel and he did it the easy way; with facts The entire book reiterates the point of the world that we are going to leave behind for our children and grandchildren which is a chilling visual The way that he paints a mental illustration in your head of what our world will be like when water is 500 a bottle and gas will be so rare that it'll cost a few hundred bucks just to fill your tank up once It's those kind of thoughts and statements that kept me interested throughout the entire thing simply because it's all reality and not many people will face it Smith doesn't only offer factual information he mentions probable future scenarios on a global scale that are extremely gut wrenching to consider For example he goes in depth on climate change and how it WILL happen rather soon and the effects of it will cause mass flooding dry spells to most countries near the euator with 8 solid nations that will be stable When I read that section of pages I had to stop and think for a few minutes My exact thought was there are 196 give or take countries on this planet we live on and you mean to tell me that within my lifetime I will see a vast depletion and be left with 8 stable functioning countries That to me was one of the craziest call to actions in my entire life Moving book I loved it